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What Is Operating Leverage?
Operating leverage sounds like complicated finance jargon, but it's a simple concept beneath all the noise. It’s all about how a company’s cost structure affects profit growth.
It can be used to understand how a change in revenue translates into operating income in percentage terms. In simple terms, operating leverage explains how small changes in revenue can lead to big swings in earnings.
The whole thing comes down to the cost base. In particular, it boils down to fixed costs vs. variable costs.
How Operating Leverage Works (Fixed vs. Variable Costs)
Every business deals with two types of costs. Fixed and variable.
Fixed costs don’t care whether you sell one unit or a million. They’re stubborn. Things like rent, equipment leases, and salaried employees. They’re on the books whether your revenue is booming or flatlining.
That bakery on the corner pays the same to lease its oven and storefront whether it pumps out 10 loaves or 100. This creates a break-even point. Sales need to hit a certain level before the business turns a profit.
Variable costs, on the other hand, scale with production. More units sold means more costs. Ingredients, packaging, shipping, and hourly wages.
Inflation.
It’s a simple enough concept. Prices go up. Money buys less. But beneath that seemingly straightforward reality lies a force powerful enough to sink currencies, destroy savings, shape elections, and punch a hole through your weekly grocery budget. It’s not just an economic stat. It’s the oxygen level of the economy — too little and growth suffocates, too much and everything catches fire.
This guide cuts through the noise. We’ll break down what inflation is, what causes it, how it's measured (and why those measurements often miss the mark), what it means for your wallet, and how you can beat it in 2025 and beyond.
What is Inflation? Understanding the Basics
At its core, inflation is the rate at which prices rise — or more precisely, the rate at which your money loses value.
Your favourite flat white costs $5 today. Same beans. Same barista. Same Melbourne alleyway. But next year? $5.25. Harmless? Multiply that by every item in your life — fuel, groceries, rent, electricity, streaming subscriptions — and your $200 weekly shop starts looking more like $240.
This is inflation: slow, quiet erosion. And it compounds.
Aussie investors have predicted strong rate cuts in 2025. The expectation has been over 125 basis points of cuts for the year. That includes the February cut the RBA has already delivered.
That’s five cuts for the year.
Is a recession going on that we don’t know about?
The market is finally coming to its senses. We’ve seen those expectations pared back in the last couple of sessions to about 80 basis points.
That’s still four cuts for the year. A big call in a fairly stable operating environment.
The market narrative is always some degree of wrong. Sometimes it’s a lot wrong. Sometimes it’s a little bit wrong.
The expectation of five cuts this year was a lot wrong.
Sometimes, the unlikely events get too heavily priced in.
It’s crucial to understand what’s likely, and why the markets price interest rates the way they do.
Interest rates ARE the markets. This is crucial to understand. It’s something most retail investors and traders have never been taught. Interest rates set the structure of the markets, and from them everything else flows.
They determine how we borrow, save and spend. But that’s a deep dive for another time.
Donald Trump has stormed back into power with a vengeance. His reform agenda has been impressive for the speed and volume of changes he's introduced if nothing else. You can't criticise the man for not getting to work.
He never said he was going to play nice. One of the core promises of his election campaign was tariffs.
'To me the most beautiful word in the dictionary is "tariff"'.
Trump said that in October 2024. And he's expressed the same sentiment many times. So we can't accuse him of springing this mess on us. He told us this was coming.
His Liberation Day tariffs have thrown global markets into panic mode, sending shockwaves across economies and forcing every major player to scramble.
His next move may be even more shocking and unforeseen. He may be gearing up for something that could dismantle the foundational pillars of our entire economic system. We're going to dive into exactly what his next move could be. It's something that no one seems to be discussing seriously yet, so it's bound to catch the market off guard if and when it goes down.
There’s something stirring beneath the surface of the global financial system. You can’t see it in the headlines. You won’t find it on your CommSec homepage. But it’s there—quiet, monstrous, and ready to burst.
And when it does?
It could trigger the most devastating financial event of this century. Bigger than COVID. Bigger than the GFC. We’re talking full-blown Great Depression territory.
That might sound dramatic. But stick with me, because this isn’t doomsaying. It’s pattern recognition. It’s history rhyming. It’s spotting the rickety scaffolding propping up the global economy—and understanding what happens when the wind picks up.
This story isn’t about inflation or AI or bond yields or Biden or Trump.
This is about a trade. One trade. A trade so big, so lopsided, and so globally entangled that it could ripple through every asset class on Earth.
It’s called the yen carry trade.
You probably don’t think about it much—if you’ve ever even heard of it. But it’s one of the foundational forces behind modern markets. And it’s starting to wobble.
Before we dive into how it works, how it could unwind, and how you might actually profit from it, let’s start by setting the mood.
There’s a saucy snippet of news doing the rounds that might have ambushed you at the water cooler at work, during a swanky cocktail party, or in one of those internet forum cesspits.
Apparently, the Federal Reserve is a shadowy, privately owned cabal, run by bankers, profiting off your ignorance, manipulating the economy from behind the curtain.
Cue the sinister music.
That’s right. While they aren’t running monetary policy, the reserve bankers are building and tearing down nations, plundering your bank account and teaching your cat bad manners.
Somehow, this has supposedly been going on right under our noses. Just a big, open secret, for anyone to examine.
Just like the lizard people, right?
Oh, did I mention it involves the Jews?
That’s right, those pesky Rothschilds are at it again!
There’s only one minor problem? And I must stress it is a very minor issue, hardly worth raising. But we’re trying to be comprehensive, so here it is.
It’s utter garbage.
Just like (spoiler alert) the lizard people conspiracy theory, this one about The Fed being a privately owned, zionist plot to overthrow your personal finances is completely removed from reality.